Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000188 0.000209 0.000231 0.000257 0.000286 0.000318 0.000355
2025-04-06 0.000147 0.000175 0.000209 0.000252 0.000305 0.000369 0.000451
2025-04-13 0.000118 0.000149 0.000187 0.000239 0.000308 0.000397 0.000522
2025-04-20 0.000103 0.000136 0.000179 0.000240 0.000326 0.000443 0.000620
2025-04-27 0.000093 0.000128 0.000175 0.000245 0.000349 0.000498 0.000736
2025-05-04 0.000084 0.000119 0.000168 0.000244 0.000361 0.000538 0.000835
2025-05-11 0.000077 0.000112 0.000164 0.000246 0.000378 0.000586 0.000953
2025-05-18 0.000071 0.000105 0.000157 0.000244 0.000388 0.000624 0.001060
2025-05-25 0.000065 0.000099 0.000152 0.000243 0.000398 0.000663 0.001174
2025-06-01 0.000060 0.000093 0.000147 0.000240 0.000405 0.000697 0.001282
2025-06-08 0.000054 0.000086 0.000138 0.000231 0.000400 0.000710 0.001353
2025-06-15 0.000051 0.000083 0.000136 0.000234 0.000416 0.000762 0.001509
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000082 0.000137 0.000242 0.000445 0.000844 0.001747
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000077 0.000131 0.000236 0.000447 0.000875 0.001882
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000070 0.000122 0.000224 0.000435 0.000874 0.001945
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000067 0.000119 0.000225 0.000448 0.000930 0.002154
2025-07-20 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000230 0.000471 0.001009 0.002439
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000063 0.000116 0.000228 0.000480 0.001059 0.002656
2025-08-03 0.000033 0.000061 0.000114 0.000230 0.000496 0.001129 0.002945
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000229 0.000504 0.001179 0.003189
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000056 0.000109 0.000227 0.000513 0.001233 0.003457
2025-08-24 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000225 0.000517 0.001277 0.003704
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000051 0.000100 0.000217 0.000508 0.001282 0.003832